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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kohei Sugiyama vs Tyson Nam

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-10-0Record23-16-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach68"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
The Blackbelt Japan· 1645 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamSports Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kohei SugiyamaNow 1600
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
Tyson NamNow 1601
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
Not available
Strike accuracy
34%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.97
Not available
Strike defense
65%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
88%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kohei SugiyamaTyson Nam
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (12%)
KO/TKO
15 (65%)
6 (35%)
Submission
1 (4%)
9 (53%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Kohei Sugiyama51%
Tyson Nam 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kohei Sugiyama a 51% favorite over Tyson Nam in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tyson Nam's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.

Kohei Sugiyama enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Tyson Nam enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kohei Sugiyama finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Nam 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.