Koyuru Tanoue vs Tatsumitsu Wada
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Tatsumitsu Wada59%
Koyuru Tanoue 41%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Tatsumitsu Wada a 59% favorite over Koyuru Tanoue in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Tatsumitsu Wada holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1589, a 56-point edge.
Koyuru Tanoue finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Tatsumitsu Wada 38%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record26-14-2
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'1"Height5'7"
-Reach69.3"
114 lbsWeight135 lbs
Shooto Gym BlowsTeamFreelance· 1571 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
Tatsumitsu Wada is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Koyuru Tanoue carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1608
If they lose-13→ 1576
If they win+10→ 1655
If they lose-14→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Koyuru TanoueTatsumitsu Wada