Combat Edge Intelligence

Kron Gracie vs Mike Santiago

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record22-14-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach41,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kron Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamTop Notch Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kron GracieNow 1591
If they win+24→ 1615
If they lose-24→ 1567
Mike SantiagoNow 1590
If they win+12→ 1602
If they lose-12→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.74
Sig. strikes / min
3.44
45%
Strike accuracy
49%
6.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
53%
Strike defense
36%
0.47
Takedown avg.
2.66
25%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
54%
0.47
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Kron GracieMike Santiago
160016502018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
5 (100%)
Submission
11 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Santiago52%
Kron Gracie 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Santiago a 52% favorite over Kron Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kron Gracie's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1590), separated by just 1 points.

Kron Gracie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mike Santiago enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kron Gracie finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mike Santiago 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.