Combat Edge Intelligence

Kron Gracie vs Ricky Turcios

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Kron Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kron GracieNow 1591
If they win+24→ 1615
If they lose-24→ 1567
Ricky TurciosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.74
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
45%
Strike accuracy
40%
6.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
53%
Strike defense
52%
0.47
Takedown avg.
0.91
25%
Takedown accuracy
20%
0%
Takedown defense
44%
0.47
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Kron GracieRicky Turcios
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
5 (100%)
Submission
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricky Turcios60%
Kron Gracie 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Turcios a 60% favorite over Kron Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1592), separated by just 1 points.

Kron Gracie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ricky Turcios enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kron Gracie finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Turcios 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.