Combat Edge Intelligence

Krzysztof Jotko vs Misha Cirkunov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-6-0Record15-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
77"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Krzysztof Jotko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Misha Cirkunov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Krzysztof JotkoNow 1769
If they win+9→ 1778
If they lose-15→ 1754
Misha CirkunovNow 1670
If they win+20→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.98
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
43%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
57%
Strike defense
58%
1.33
Takedown avg.
4.15
19%
Takedown accuracy
40%
82%
Takedown defense
77%
0.07
Submission avg.
1.71

Trajectory

Krzysztof JotkoMisha Cirkunov
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (27%)
KO/TKO
5 (33%)
2 (7%)
Submission
8 (53%)
20 (67%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Krzysztof Jotko92%
Misha Cirkunov 8%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 92% favorite over Misha Cirkunov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Krzysztof Jotko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1769 to 1670, a 99-point edge.

Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Krzysztof Jotko finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Misha Cirkunov 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.