Combat Edge Intelligence

Krzysztof Jotko vs Scott Askham

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-6-0Record20-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
77"Reach75,0"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Krzysztof Jotko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Scott Askham carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Krzysztof JotkoNow 1769
If they win+9→ 1778
If they lose-15→ 1754
Scott AskhamNow 1679
If they win+15→ 1694
If they lose-9→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.98
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
43%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
57%
Strike defense
52%
1.33
Takedown avg.
0.44
19%
Takedown accuracy
18%
82%
Takedown defense
65%
0.07
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Krzysztof JotkoScott Askham
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (27%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
2 (7%)
Submission
2 (10%)
20 (67%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Krzysztof Jotko92%
Scott Askham 8%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 92% favorite over Scott Askham in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Krzysztof Jotko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1769 to 1679, a 90-point edge.

Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Krzysztof Jotko finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Scott Askham 70%.

Krzysztof Jotko carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.