Combat Edge Intelligence

Krzysztof Jotko vs Sean Strickland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-6-0Record31-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Sean Strickland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Krzysztof Jotko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Krzysztof JotkoNow 1769
If they win+14→ 1783
If they lose-10→ 1759
Sean StricklandNow 1823
If they win+10→ 1833
If they lose-14→ 1809

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1742 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.98
Sig. strikes / min
6.04
43%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.57
57%
Strike defense
61%
1.33
Takedown avg.
0.71
19%
Takedown accuracy
64%
82%
Takedown defense
77%
0.07
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Krzysztof JotkoSean Strickland
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (27%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
2 (7%)
Submission
4 (13%)
20 (67%)
Decision
15 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Krzysztof Jotko60%
Sean Strickland 40%Elo baseline: 42%

The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 60% favorite over Sean Strickland in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sean Strickland's way (42%).

Sean Strickland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1769, a 54-point edge.

Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Krzysztof Jotko finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.