Combat Edge Intelligence

Krzysztof Jotko vs Shara Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-6-0Record17-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
77"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight186 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGOR MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Krzysztof JotkoNow 1769
If they win+12→ 1781
If they lose-12→ 1757
Shara MagomedovNow 1765
If they win+16→ 1781
If they lose-16→ 1749

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.98
Sig. strikes / min
5.93
43%
Strike accuracy
63%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
57%
Strike defense
44%
1.33
Takedown avg.
0
19%
Takedown accuracy
0%
82%
Takedown defense
71%
0.07
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Krzysztof JotkoShara Magomedov
175020252026

Win method breakdown

8 (27%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
2 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
20 (67%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Krzysztof Jotko64%
Shara Magomedov 36%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 64% favorite over Shara Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1769 vs 1765), separated by just 4 points.

Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Shara Magomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Krzysztof Jotko finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Shara Magomedov 71%.

Krzysztof Jotko carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.