Combat Edge Intelligence

Kun Zhou vs Stewart Nicoll

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record8-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
65.4"Reach65"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Sihai Liancheng Fight GymTeamBroz Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kun ZhouNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Stewart NicollNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.63
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.84
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.63
TBD
Takedown accuracy
4%
TBD
Takedown defense
29%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kun ZhouStewart Nicoll
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
7 (54%)
Submission
3 (38%)
2 (15%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Kun Zhou67%
Stewart Nicoll 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kun Zhou a 67% favorite over Stewart Nicoll in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1591), separated by just 2 points.

Kun Zhou enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Stewart Nicoll enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kun Zhou finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Stewart Nicoll 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.