Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Bochniak vs Sean Woodson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sean Woodson
us

Sean Woodson

“The Sniper”

13-2-1FeatherweightUFC

1721Good

Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record13-2-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'2"
38,5"Reach78"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Broadway Jiu-JitsuTeamWolves' Den Training Center

What's at stake

Sean Woodson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Kyle Bochniak carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kyle BochniakNow 1614
If they win+21→ 1635
If they lose-11→ 1603
Sean WoodsonNow 1721
If they win+11→ 1732
If they lose-21→ 1700

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.63
Sig. strikes / min
5.66
31%
Strike accuracy
47%
5.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.20
58%
Strike defense
59%
1.14
Takedown avg.
0.63
15%
Takedown accuracy
63%
63%
Takedown defense
84%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Kyle BochniakSean Woodson
1600165017001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
2 (18%)
Submission
1 (8%)
7 (64%)
Decision
8 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Woodson78%
Kyle Bochniak 22%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Woodson a 78% favorite over Kyle Bochniak in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Sean Woodson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1614, a 107-point edge.

Kyle Bochniak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kyle Bochniak finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Sean Woodson 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.