Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Daukaus vs Omari Akhmedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kyle Daukaus
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Kyle Daukaus

“The D'Arce Knight”

17-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1716Good

Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record24-8-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
76"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Martinez BJJTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyle DaukausNow 1716
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700
Omari AkhmedovNow 1715
If they win+12→ 1727
If they lose-12→ 1703

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.32
Sig. strikes / min
2.97
53%
Strike accuracy
34%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
43%
Strike defense
56%
2.08
Takedown avg.
2.58
26%
Takedown accuracy
46%
83%
Takedown defense
66%
2.08
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Kyle DaukausOmari Akhmedov
1650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (12%)
KO/TKO
8 (33%)
12 (71%)
Submission
7 (29%)
3 (18%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Daukaus70%
Omari Akhmedov 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Daukaus a 70% favorite over Omari Akhmedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1716 vs 1715), separated by just 1 points.

Kyle Daukaus finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Omari Akhmedov 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.