Kyle Daukaus vs Ryan Gandra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
76"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
What's at stake
Ryan Gandra is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Kyle Daukaus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1710
If they lose-15→ 1678
If they win+15→ 1727
If they lose-17→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kyle DaukausRyan Gandra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Daukaus52%
Ryan Gandra 48%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Daukaus a 52% favorite over Ryan Gandra in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Gandra's way (47%).
Ryan Gandra holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1693, a 19-point edge.
Kyle Daukaus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Gandra enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Kyle Daukaus finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gandra 82%.
Kyle Daukaus carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.