Kyle Nelson vs Loik Radzhabov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-1Record18-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
House of Champions MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
If they win+12→ 1680
If they lose-12→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kyle NelsonLoik Radzhabov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Nelson62%
Loik Radzhabov 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Nelson a 62% favorite over Loik Radzhabov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1668), separated by just 1 points.
Kyle Nelson finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Loik Radzhabov 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.