Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Prepolec vs Lando Vannata

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-11-0Record12-8-2
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach71"
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Maximum Training CentreTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyle PrepolecNow 1567
If they win+12→ 1579
If they lose-12→ 1555
Lando VannataNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
4.52
34%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.76
49%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
1.09
0%
Takedown accuracy
38%
45%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Kyle PrepolecLando Vannata
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
4 (22%)
Submission
5 (42%)
4 (22%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kyle Prepolec and Lando Vannata within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1571), separated by just 4 points.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kyle Prepolec finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Lando Vannata 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.