Kyle Prepolec vs Mateusz Makarowski
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Prepolec64%
Mateusz Makarowski 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Prepolec a 64% favorite over Mateusz Makarowski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1586), separated by just 0 points.
Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kyle Prepolec finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Makarowski 79%.
Mateusz Makarowski carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
18-11-0Record14-8-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Maximum Training Centre· 1657 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamWCA Fight Team· 1601 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1598
If they lose-12→ 1574
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kyle PrepolecMateusz Makarowski