Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyoji Horiguchi vs Manel Kape

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Manel Kape
ao

Manel Kape

“Starboy”

23-7-0FlyweightUFC

1751Great

Tale of the tape

36-6-0Record23-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
66"Reach 68"
134 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAKA Thailand

What's at stake

Kyoji Horiguchi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Manel Kape carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kyoji HoriguchiNow 1801
If they win+10→ 1811
If they lose-14→ 1787
Manel KapeNow 1751
If they win+18→ 1769
If they lose-14→ 1737

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
4.68
47%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
64%
Strike defense
57%
1.61
Takedown avg.
0.36
41%
Takedown accuracy
20%
61%
Takedown defense
79%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Kyoji HoriguchiManel Kape
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (42%)
KO/TKO
15 (65%)
6 (17%)
Submission
5 (22%)
15 (42%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kyoji Horiguchi and Manel Kape within a point of even.

Kyoji Horiguchi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1801 to 1751, a 50-point edge.

Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Kyoji Horiguchi finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Manel Kape 87%.

Manel Kape carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.