Kyoji Horiguchi vs Manel Kape
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Kyoji Horiguchi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Manel Kape carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kyoji Horiguchi and Manel Kape within a point of even.
Kyoji Horiguchi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1801 to 1751, a 50-point edge.
Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Kyoji Horiguchi finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Manel Kape 87%.
Manel Kape carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.