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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyoji Horiguchi vs Muhammad Mokaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

36-6-0Record16-0-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'9"
66"Reach70"
134 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKHK MMA Team· 1686 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyoji HoriguchiNow 1803
If they win+12→ 1815
If they lose-12→ 1791
Muhammad MokaevNow 1805
If they win+16→ 1821
If they lose-16→ 1789

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
1.61
47%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.35
64%
Strike defense
58%
1.61
Takedown avg.
5.29
41%
Takedown accuracy
41%
61%
Takedown defense
25%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Kyoji HoriguchiMuhammad Mokaev
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (42%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
6 (17%)
Submission
7 (44%)
15 (42%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Muhammad Mokaev63%
Kyoji Horiguchi 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Mokaev a 63% favorite over Kyoji Horiguchi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1803 vs 1805), separated by just 2 points.

Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Kyoji Horiguchi finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Mokaev 63%.

Kyoji Horiguchi and Muhammad Mokaev share 1 common opponent: Manel Kape.

Muhammad Mokaev carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2026
Manel Kape
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024