Kyoji Horiguchi vs Muhammad Mokaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-6-0Record16-0-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'9"
66"Reach70"
134 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1813
If they lose-12→ 1789
If they win+16→ 1821
If they lose-16→ 1789
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kyoji HoriguchiMuhammad Mokaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muhammad Mokaev65%
Kyoji Horiguchi 35%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Mokaev a 65% favorite over Kyoji Horiguchi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1801 vs 1805), separated by just 4 points.
Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Kyoji Horiguchi finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Mokaev 63%.
Kyoji Horiguchi and Muhammad Mokaev share 1 common opponent: Manel Kape.
Muhammad Mokaev carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.