Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyoji Horiguchi vs Tagir Ulanbekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

36-6-0Record17-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"Reach70"
134 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamEagles MMA· 1817 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Kyoji Horiguchi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tagir Ulanbekov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kyoji HoriguchiNow 1801
If they win+10→ 1811
If they lose-14→ 1787
Tagir UlanbekovNow 1740
If they win+19→ 1759
If they lose-13→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
47%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
64%
Strike defense
52%
1.61
Takedown avg.
2.94
41%
Takedown accuracy
39%
61%
Takedown defense
62%
0.11
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Kyoji HoriguchiTagir Ulanbekov
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (42%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
6 (17%)
Submission
8 (47%)
15 (42%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyoji Horiguchi63%
Tagir Ulanbekov 37%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyoji Horiguchi a 63% favorite over Tagir Ulanbekov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Kyoji Horiguchi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1801 to 1740, a 61-point edge.

Kyoji Horiguchi finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Ulanbekov 53%.

Tagir Ulanbekov carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.