Tagir Ulanbekov vs Kyoji Horiguchi

Jun 21, 2025 · ESPN+

DateJun 21, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueBaku Crystal Hall

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, June 21, 2025 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 3:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 12:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 8:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 9:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Tagir Ulanbekov17-3-0Tagir Ulanbekov vs Kyoji HoriguchiKyoji HoriguchiKarate Kid |36-6-0

Tagir Ulanbekov17-3-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

17-3-0Record36-6-0

35Age35

5'7"Height5'5"

70"Reach66"

125 lbsWeight134 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Kyoji HoriguchiKarate Kid36-6-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Kyoji Horiguchi owns a 60-point Elo edge (great). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Tagir Ulanbekov and Kyoji Horiguchi across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Tagir UlanbekovKyoji Horiguchi

Recent form

Tagir UlanbekovL W W W W · +50 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Kyoji HoriguchiL W W W W · +18 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Tagir Ulanbekov1744-17 last move

Kyoji Horiguchi1804-18 last move

Why they are ranked here

Tagir Ulanbekov#12 of 206 active Flyweight fighters · 1744 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Nate Maness (rated 1728 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Tim Elliott (rated 1594 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +50 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #11 Ramazan Temirov, 12 ahead of #13 André Lima.

Kyoji Horiguchi#3 of 206 active Flyweight fighters · 1804 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Tagir Ulanbekov (rated 1761 at the time): +13.
Costliest loss: Lost to Manel Kape (rated 1726 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +18 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #2 Muhammad Mokaev, 8 ahead of #4 Alexandre Pantoja.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Tagir UlanbekovNow 1744 · #12 Flyweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1763

Loses by decision-13→ 1731

Kyoji HoriguchiNow 1804 · #3 Flyweight

Wins by decision+10→ 1814

Loses by decision-14→ 1790

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Tagir UlanbekovvsKyoji Horiguchi

Submission average

1.56vs0.11

Takedown average

2.94vs1.61

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.36vs2.13

Sig. strike defense

52%vs64%

Finishing profile

Tagir Ulanbekovsubmission leads 47% of wins

Kyoji HoriguchiKO/TKO leads 42% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Tagir UlanbekovKyoji Horiguchi

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.37Sig. strikes landed per min3.77

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

49Sig. strike accuracy47

UFC flyweight average : 44%

3.36Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.13

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

52Sig. strike defense64

UFC flyweight average : 55%

2.94Takedown average1.61

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

39Takedown accuracy41

UFC flyweight average : 26%

62Takedown defense61

UFC flyweight average : 57%

1.56Submission average0.11

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

1Wins by knockout15

8Wins by submission6

8Wins by decision15

0Losses by knockout3

1Losses by submission1

2Losses by decision2

Tagir Ulanbekov vs Kyoji Horiguchi is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HILL VS ROUNTREE JR. Tagir Ulanbekov enters with a 17-3-0 record and Kyoji Horiguchi enters with a 36-6-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.