Lance Gibson Jr. vs Leandro Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record28-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gibson Kickboxing & PankrationTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
If they win+12→ 1667
If they lose-12→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lance Gibson Jr.Leandro Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lance Gibson Jr.53%
Leandro Silva 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lance Gibson Jr. a 53% favorite over Leandro Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leandro Silva's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1655), separated by just 1 points.
Lance Gibson Jr. finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Silva 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.