Combat Edge Intelligence

Lando Vannata vs Waylon Lowe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-8-2Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lando VannataNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
Waylon LoweNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
1.92
45%
Strike accuracy
56%
4.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
55%
Strike defense
53%
1.09
Takedown avg.
4.58
38%
Takedown accuracy
52%
69%
Takedown defense
83%
0.30
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Lando VannataWaylon Lowe
1500155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
5 (42%)
Submission
3 (19%)
3 (25%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Lando Vannata52%
Waylon Lowe 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lando Vannata a 52% favorite over Waylon Lowe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1571), separated by just 0 points.

Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Lando Vannata finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Waylon Lowe 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.