Combat Edge Intelligence

Lauren Murphy vs Veronika Smolková

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record10-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
67"Reach63"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lauren MurphyNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Veronika SmolkováNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.05
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
39%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
1.03
Takedown avg.
Not available
25%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
70%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.07
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Lauren MurphyVeronika Smolková
1500160017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (20%)
7 (44%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Lauren Murphy69%
Veronika Smolková 31%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Lauren Murphy a 69% favorite over Veronika Smolková in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1643), separated by just 9 points.

Lauren Murphy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Veronika Smolková enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Lauren Murphy finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Veronika Smolková 70%.

Lauren Murphy carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.