Lauren Murphy vs Veronika Smolková
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-7-0Record10-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
67"Reach63"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Gracie Barra KatyTeamDracula Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lauren MurphyVeronika Smolková
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Veronika Smolková53%
Lauren Murphy 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Veronika Smolková a 53% favorite over Lauren Murphy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lauren Murphy's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1644), separated by just 8 points.
Lauren Murphy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Veronika Smolková enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Lauren Murphy finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Veronika Smolková 70%.
Lauren Murphy carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.