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Combat Edge Intelligence

Lazar Todev vs Renan Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Lazar Todev
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Lazar Todev

“The Punisher”

14-7-0HeavyweightOKMMA

1670Good

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'8"
-Reach85"
241 lbsWeight264 lbs
Tiger SportakademieTeamTeam Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lazar TodevNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Renan FerreiraNow 1673
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Lazar TodevRenan Ferreira
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (8%)
4 (29%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Renan Ferreira62%
Lazar Todev 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 62% favorite over Lazar Todev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1673), separated by just 3 points.

Lazar Todev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Lazar Todev finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.