Combat Edge Intelligence

Lazar Todev vs Renan Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lazar Todev
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Lazar Todev

“The Punisher”

14-7-0HeavyweightOKMMA

1664Good

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'8"
-Reach85"
241 lbsWeight264 lbs
Tiger SportakademieTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lazar TodevNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Renan FerreiraNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lazar TodevRenan Ferreira
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (8%)
4 (29%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Lazar Todev and Renan Ferreira within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1666), separated by just 2 points.

Lazar Todev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Lazar Todev finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.