Lazaro Dayron vs Rashid Vagabov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-0-1Record16-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"Reach63"
136 lbsWeight125 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1671 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamClub Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov's School· 1628 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lazaro DayronRashid Vagabov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rashid Vagabov68%
Lazaro Dayron 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rashid Vagabov a 68% favorite over Lazaro Dayron in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lazaro Dayron's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1712), separated by just 3 points.
Lazaro Dayron enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Rashid Vagabov enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Lazaro Dayron finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Rashid Vagabov 63%.
Lazaro Dayron carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.