Lazaro Dayron vs Raufeon Stots
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-0-1Record21-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"Reach72"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamRoufusport
What's at stake
Raufeon Stots is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Lazaro Dayron carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1704
If they lose-14→ 1672
If they win+11→ 1736
If they lose-13→ 1712
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lazaro DayronRaufeon Stots
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lazaro Dayron52%
Raufeon Stots 48%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Lazaro Dayron a 52% favorite over Raufeon Stots in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raufeon Stots's way (44%).
Raufeon Stots holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1686, a 39-point edge.
Lazaro Dayron enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Raufeon Stots enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lazaro Dayron finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Raufeon Stots 43%.
Lazaro Dayron and Raufeon Stots share 1 common opponent: Danny Sabatello.
Raufeon Stots carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.