Combat Edge Intelligence

Lazaro Dayron vs Raufeon Stots

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-0-1Record21-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"Reach72"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamRoufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lazaro DayronNow 1714
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
Raufeon StotsNow 1716
If they win+12→ 1728
If they lose-12→ 1704

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Lazaro DayronRaufeon Stots
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
4 (19%)
1 (9%)
Submission
5 (24%)
6 (55%)
Decision
12 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Raufeon Stots64%
Lazaro Dayron 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Raufeon Stots a 64% favorite over Lazaro Dayron in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1716), separated by just 2 points.

Lazaro Dayron enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Raufeon Stots enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Lazaro Dayron finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Raufeon Stots 43%.

Lazaro Dayron and Raufeon Stots share 1 common opponent: Danny Sabatello.

Raufeon Stots carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

DrawDraw (Majority) · 2024
Danny Sabatello
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2023
WinDecision (Split) · 2022