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Combat Edge Intelligence

Leo Kuntz vs Matheus Camilo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Leo Kuntz
us

Leo Kuntz

“The Lion”

19-4-1LightweightNIF

1657Good

Tale of the tape

19-4-1Record11-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74,0"Reach 69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Daru Strong Performance CenterTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leo KuntzNow 1657
If they win+15→ 1672
If they lose-17→ 1640
Matheus CamiloNow 1643
If they win+17→ 1660
If they lose-15→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.68
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
33%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
46%
Strike defense
67%
1.99
Takedown avg.
4.16
25%
Takedown accuracy
15%
33%
Takedown defense
0%
0.66
Submission avg.
0.59

Trajectory

Leo KuntzMatheus Camilo
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
5 (28%)
Submission
2 (18%)
4 (22%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Camilo55%
Leo Kuntz 45%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Camilo a 55% favorite over Leo Kuntz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leo Kuntz's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1643), separated by just 14 points.

Leo Kuntz finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Camilo 64%.

Leo Kuntz carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.