Combat Edge Intelligence

Lerone Murphy vs Patricio Pitbull

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-1-1Record37-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
73"Reach65"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamPitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lerone MurphyNow 1791
If they win+16→ 1807
If they lose-16→ 1775
Patricio PitbullNow 1783
If they win+12→ 1795
If they lose-12→ 1771

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.48
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
54%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.23
62%
Strike defense
58%
1.41
Takedown avg.
1.49
54%
Takedown accuracy
33%
51%
Takedown defense
89%
0.54
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Lerone MurphyPatricio Pitbull
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (47%)
KO/TKO
12 (32%)
0 (0%)
Submission
12 (32%)
9 (53%)
Decision
13 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Lerone Murphy70%
Patricio Pitbull 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Lerone Murphy a 70% favorite over Patricio Pitbull in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1791 vs 1783), separated by just 8 points.

Lerone Murphy finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Patricio Pitbull 65%.

Lerone Murphy and Patricio Pitbull share 2 common opponents: Aaron Pico and Dan Ige.

Lerone Murphy carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinKO (spinning back elbow) · 2025
Aaron Pico
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2026
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Dan Ige
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025