Combat Edge Intelligence

Lerone Murphy vs Zubaira Tukhugov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-1-1Record20-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight158 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

Lerone Murphy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Zubaira Tukhugov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Lerone MurphyNow 1791
If they win+12→ 1803
If they lose-20→ 1771
Zubaira TukhugovNow 1692
If they win+15→ 1707
If they lose-9→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.48
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
54%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
62%
Strike defense
64%
1.41
Takedown avg.
2.13
54%
Takedown accuracy
39%
51%
Takedown defense
100%
0.54
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lerone MurphyZubaira Tukhugov
170017501800202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (47%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (5%)
9 (53%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Lerone Murphy79%
Zubaira Tukhugov 21%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Lerone Murphy a 79% favorite over Zubaira Tukhugov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Lerone Murphy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1791 to 1692, a 99-point edge.

Lerone Murphy finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Zubaira Tukhugov 40%.

Lerone Murphy and Zubaira Tukhugov share 2 common opponents: Douglas Silva de Andrade and Ricardo Ramos.

Lerone Murphy carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinTKO · 2020
Ricardo Ramos
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Douglas Silva de Andrade
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2014