Combat Edge Intelligence

Lewis Gonzalez vs Ozzy Diaz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ozzy Diaz
us

Ozzy Diaz

“Ozzy”

10-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'4"
TBDReach79"
174 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMAGOLD Fight TeamTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lewis GonzalezNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Ozzy DiazNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.40
Sig. strikes / min
6.44
38%
Strike accuracy
50%
1.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.23
42%
Strike defense
59%
2
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
63%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lewis GonzalezOzzy Diaz
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
6 (50%)
Submission
2 (20%)
4 (33%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Ozzy Diaz62%
Lewis Gonzalez 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ozzy Diaz a 62% favorite over Lewis Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.

Lewis Gonzalez finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ozzy Diaz 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.