Lewis McGrillen vs Nawras Abzakh
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-2-0Record15-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'10"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamTeam Narmouq
What's at stake
Lewis McGrillen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Nawras Abzakh carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1692
If they lose-18→ 1660
If they win+18→ 1650
If they lose-14→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lewis McGrillenNawras Abzakh
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lewis McGrillen64%
Nawras Abzakh 36%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Lewis McGrillen a 64% favorite over Nawras Abzakh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Lewis McGrillen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1632, a 46-point edge.
Nawras Abzakh enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Lewis McGrillen finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Nawras Abzakh 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.