Liam Macfadyen vs Nicolas Mandiola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-0-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
613 Fight Factory· 1600 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamKiltros Crew
What's at stake
Liam Macfadyen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Nicolas Mandiola carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1652
If they lose-27→ 1604
If they win+27→ 1616
If they lose-21→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Liam MacfadyenNicolas Mandiola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Liam Macfadyen52%
Nicolas Mandiola 48%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Liam Macfadyen a 52% favorite over Nicolas Mandiola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Liam Macfadyen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1589, a 42-point edge.
Liam Macfadyen enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Nicolas Mandiola enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Liam Macfadyen finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Mandiola 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.