Combat Edge Intelligence

Lina Länsberg vs Tonya Evinger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-8-0Record19-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
65"Reach39,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Redline Training CenterTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

Tonya Evinger is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Lina Länsberg carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Lina LänsbergNow 1583
If they win+19→ 1602
If they lose-13→ 1570
Tonya EvingerNow 1656
If they win+10→ 1666
If they lose-14→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
1.16
55%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.02
44%
Strike defense
39%
0.52
Takedown avg.
0.93
28%
Takedown accuracy
30%
47%
Takedown defense
33%
0.10
Submission avg.
0.93

Trajectory

Lina LänsbergTonya Evinger
160016501700201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (37%)
6 (60%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Tonya Evinger67%
Lina Länsberg 33%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Tonya Evinger a 67% favorite over Lina Länsberg in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Tonya Evinger holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1583, a 73-point edge.

Lina Länsberg enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Tonya Evinger enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Lina Länsberg finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Tonya Evinger 79%.

Lina Länsberg and Tonya Evinger share 3 common opponents: Pannie Kianzad, Yana Santos and Aspen Ladd.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossKO/TKO · 2017
Aspen Ladd
LossKO/TKO · 2018
LossDEC · 2018
Yana Santos
Win Rear Naked Choke · 2017
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Pannie Kianzad
WinTKO (punches) · 2015