Combat Edge Intelligence

Liz Carmouche vs Viviane Araujo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-8-0Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
The ArenaTeamCerrado MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Liz Carmouche is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Viviane Araujo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Liz CarmoucheNow 1748
If they win+8→ 1756
If they lose-16→ 1732
Viviane AraujoNow 1625
If they win+21→ 1646
If they lose-11→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
54%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.83
62%
Strike defense
56%
2.57
Takedown avg.
1.72
34%
Takedown accuracy
43%
66%
Takedown defense
75%
0.31
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Liz CarmoucheViviane Araujo
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (42%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
7 (27%)
Submission
4 (29%)
8 (31%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Liz Carmouche53%
Viviane Araujo 47%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Liz Carmouche a 53% favorite over Viviane Araujo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Liz Carmouche holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1625, a 123-point edge.

Liz Carmouche enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Liz Carmouche finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Viviane Araujo 50%.

Viviane Araujo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.