Lone’er Kavanagh vs Ramazan Temirov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Lone’er Kavanagh57%
Ramazan Temirov 43%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Lone’er Kavanagh a 57% favorite over Ramazan Temirov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ramazan Temirov's way (46%).
Ramazan Temirov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1696, a 29-point edge.
Lone’er Kavanagh finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Ramazan Temirov 65%.
Lone’er Kavanagh and Ramazan Temirov share 1 common opponent: Charles Johnson.
Lone’er Kavanagh carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record20-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
67"Reach63"
126 lbsWeight126 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamMuradov Legion Team
What's at stake
Ramazan Temirov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Lone’er Kavanagh carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1713
If they lose-15→ 1681
If they win+15→ 1740
If they lose-17→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lone’er KavanaghRamazan Temirov