Combat Edge Intelligence

Long Xiao vs Magomed Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-11-0Record22-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach70"
136 lbsWeight137 lbs
Xin-Du Martial Arts ClubTeamDagFighter· 1713 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Long XiaoNow 1678
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666
Magomed MagomedovNow 1678
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.06
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0.74
Takedown avg.
TBD
11%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
82%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Long XiaoMagomed Magomedov
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (19%)
KO/TKO
4 (18%)
9 (33%)
Submission
10 (45%)
13 (48%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Magomedov66%
Long Xiao 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Magomedov a 66% favorite over Long Xiao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Long Xiao's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1678), separated by just 0 points.

Long Xiao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Long Xiao finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Magomedov 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.