Long Xiao vs Muin Gafurov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-12-0Record20-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach68"
136 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Long XiaoMuin Gafurov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Long Xiao52%
Muin Gafurov 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Long Xiao a 52% favorite over Muin Gafurov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Muin Gafurov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1668), separated by just 1 points.
Long Xiao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Long Xiao finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Muin Gafurov 85%.
Long Xiao carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.