Combat Edge Intelligence

Long Xiao vs Raphael Uchegbu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-11-0Record11-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach73"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xin-Du Martial Arts ClubTeam4 Corner Combat Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Long XiaoNow 1679
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667
Raphael UchegbuNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.25
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0.69
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Long XiaoRaphael Uchegbu
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (19%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
9 (33%)
Submission
5 (45%)
13 (48%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Raphael Uchegbu52%
Long Xiao 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Raphael Uchegbu a 52% favorite over Long Xiao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1680), separated by just 1 points.

Long Xiao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Long Xiao finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Uchegbu 82%.

Raphael Uchegbu carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.