Combat Edge Intelligence

Long Xiao vs Sergey Morozov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-11-0Record19-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xin-Du Martial Arts ClubTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Long XiaoNow 1678
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666
Sergey MorozovNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.06
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
47%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
50%
Strike defense
61%
0.74
Takedown avg.
3.63
11%
Takedown accuracy
32%
82%
Takedown defense
68%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Long XiaoSergey Morozov
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (19%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
9 (33%)
Submission
3 (16%)
13 (48%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Long Xiao66%
Sergey Morozov 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Long Xiao a 66% favorite over Sergey Morozov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1676), separated by just 2 points.

Long Xiao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sergey Morozov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Long Xiao finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Morozov 58%.

Long Xiao carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.