Combat Edge Intelligence

Long Xiao vs Yrysbek Tilenov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-12-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach68"
136 lbsWeight134 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Long XiaoNow 1663
If they win+12→ 1675
If they lose-12→ 1651
Yrysbek TilenovNow 1662
If they win+24→ 1686
If they lose-24→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.06
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
50%
Strike defense
Not available
0.74
Takedown avg.
Not available
11%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
82%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Long XiaoYrysbek Tilenov
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (19%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
9 (33%)
Submission
1 (13%)
13 (48%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Long Xiao67%
Yrysbek Tilenov 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Long Xiao a 67% favorite over Yrysbek Tilenov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Long Xiao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Yrysbek Tilenov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Long Xiao finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Yrysbek Tilenov 75%.

Long Xiao carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.