Combat Edge Intelligence

Lorenzo de Nigris vs Zak Flessas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zak Flessas
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Zak Flessas

“Achilles”

3-2-0FeatherweightPFL

1500Average

Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record3-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-Reach70"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ligorio Top TeamTeamWanderley Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477
Zak FlessasNow 1500
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lorenzo de NigrisZak Flessas
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (100%)
Submission
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Lorenzo de Nigris and Zak Flessas within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1500), separated by just 1 points.

Zak Flessas 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.