Losene Keita vs Muhammad Naimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-2-0Record13-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach70"
154 lbsWeight146 lbs
Lamiro Fight ClubTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Losene Keita is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Muhammad Naimov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1766
If they lose-20→ 1734
If they win+20→ 1683
If they lose-12→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Losene KeitaMuhammad Naimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Losene Keita67%
Muhammad Naimov 33%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Losene Keita a 67% favorite over Muhammad Naimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Losene Keita holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1663, a 91-point edge.
Muhammad Naimov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Losene Keita finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Naimov 62%.
Losene Keita and Muhammad Naimov share 1 common opponent: Nathaniel Wood.
Losene Keita carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.