Losene Keita vs Patricio Pitbull
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-2-0Record37-9-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
72"Reach65"
154 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lamiro Fight ClubTeamPitbull Brothers
What's at stake
Patricio Pitbull is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Losene Keita carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1748
If they lose-14→ 1716
If they win+10→ 1784
If they lose-14→ 1760
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Losene KeitaPatricio Pitbull
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Losene Keita60%
Patricio Pitbull 40%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Losene Keita a 60% favorite over Patricio Pitbull in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patricio Pitbull's way (44%).
Patricio Pitbull holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1730, a 44-point edge.
Losene Keita finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Patricio Pitbull 65%.
Losene Keita carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.