Losene Keita vs Yair Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-2-0Record20-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72"Reach71"
154 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lamiro Fight ClubTeamValle Flow Striking· 1672 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1769
If they lose-16→ 1737
If they win+16→ 1767
If they lose-16→ 1735
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Losene KeitaYair Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yair Rodriguez54%
Losene Keita 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yair Rodriguez a 54% favorite over Losene Keita in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Losene Keita's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1753 vs 1751), separated by just 2 points.
Losene Keita finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.