Louie Sutherland vs Marcio Cruz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record8-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
76"ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight205 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamGracie Fusion
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Louie SutherlandMarcio Cruz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Louie Sutherland63%
Marcio Cruz 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 63% favorite over Marcio Cruz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1582), separated by just 2 points.
Louie Sutherland finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Cruz 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.