Louie Sutherland vs Mark Godbeer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record13-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
76"Reach44,0"
266 lbsWeight245 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamScottish Hit Squad
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Louie SutherlandMark Godbeer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Louie Sutherland70%
Mark Godbeer 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 70% favorite over Mark Godbeer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Godbeer's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1588), separated by just 4 points.
Mark Godbeer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Louie Sutherland finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Mark Godbeer 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.