Combat Edge Intelligence

Louie Sutherland vs Rex Richards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record7-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
76"ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight218 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamWest Texas MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Louie SutherlandNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Rex RichardsNow 1587
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
69%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
30%
Strike defense
TBD
4.95
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Louie SutherlandRex Richards
1550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (43%)
3 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Louie Sutherland60%
Rex Richards 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 60% favorite over Rex Richards in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rex Richards's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1587), separated by just 3 points.

Louie Sutherland finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Rex Richards 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.