Louie Sutherland vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
76"Reach75"
266 lbsWeight265 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamLions High Performance Centre
What's at stake
Tai Tuivasa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Louie Sutherland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1601
If they lose-15→ 1569
If they win+15→ 1626
If they lose-17→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Louie SutherlandTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Louie Sutherland66%
Tai Tuivasa 34%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 66% favorite over Tai Tuivasa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tai Tuivasa's way (46%).
Tai Tuivasa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1611 to 1584, a 27-point edge.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Louie Sutherland finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.