Combat Edge Intelligence

Louis Gaudinot vs Tim Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record21-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'7"
TBDReach66"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Tiger SchulmannTeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

Tim Elliott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Louis Gaudinot carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Louis GaudinotNow 1560
If they win+20→ 1580
If they lose-12→ 1548
Tim ElliottNow 1645
If they win+9→ 1654
If they lose-15→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.34
Sig. strikes / min
3.51
37%
Strike accuracy
43%
6.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
49%
Strike defense
56%
0.57
Takedown avg.
3.61
40%
Takedown accuracy
25%
31%
Takedown defense
59%
1.13
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Louis GaudinotTim Elliott
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
2 (25%)
Submission
8 (38%)
3 (38%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Elliott70%
Louis Gaudinot 30%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Elliott a 70% favorite over Louis Gaudinot in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Tim Elliott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1560, a 85-point edge.

Louis Gaudinot finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.