Louis Smolka vs Sumudaerji
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record19-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'8"
68"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team OyamaTeamEnbo Fight Club
What's at stake
Sumudaerji is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Louis Smolka carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1644
If they lose-10→ 1620
If they win+10→ 1685
If they lose-14→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Louis SmolkaSumudaerji
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sumudaerji73%
Louis Smolka 27%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Sumudaerji a 73% favorite over Louis Smolka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Sumudaerji holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1630, a 45-point edge.
Louis Smolka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sumudaerji enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Louis Smolka finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Sumudaerji 74%.
Louis Smolka and Sumudaerji share 1 common opponent: Matt Schnell.
Sumudaerji carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.